Portfolio Monitoring, Non-QM, Corresp., Broker Products; Customer Satisfaction Survey

Posted To: Pipeline Press

Here’s something you can do for your friends, relatives, and borrowers, especially older ones: Remind them that the current batch of coronavirus relief payments are coming as VISA debit cards . Texas’ Larry C. reminded me that we’ve all unexpectedly received cards in the mail that we didn’t order and cut them up before throwing them in the garbage. Don’t do it this time! 2020 has been quite the year for unexpected things. In March, as huge fundings hit the secondary markets, REITs withdrew, and the Fed stepped in as a big buyer. But too big. Things balanced out, but when the CARES Act hit with its forbearance plan for anyone with government-backed mortgage, it “broadened the denominator” and thrust making the advances onto the servicer. That created…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

MBS Day Ahead: Bonds Look to Challenge Trend With Powell on Deck

Posted To: MBS Commentary

The next Fed announcement is 1.5 weeks away and so it's time to start ramping up expectations for the details of the Fed's official QE announcement. But wait… Aren't they buying a ton of bonds already? Indeed, the Fed continues purchasing both MBS and Treasuries in relatively significant quantities every day, but they do so under "emergency measures." Markets expect the Fed to make it official in this upcoming meeting. Why is that? The Fed is committed to transparency. For anyone who tuned in very much to the pre-Bernanke Fed communications, this is a bonafide fact . They're also committed to ensuring smooth market functioning as the economy battles back from coronavirus impacts. Under the current emergency policy, markets are left to guess how and when the daily…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

April's Forbearance Requests Slow to a Relative Trickle

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Black Knight says its research is showing that the numbers of new forbearance plans for homeowners financially affected by the COVID-19 pandemic have slowed to a trickle compared to the tidal wave in early April. Only 7,000 new plans were put in place during the week ended May 26 compared to a 325,000-net increase in the first week of May and 1.4 million in the first week of April. The most recent increase brings the total forbearance plans to 4.76 million or 9.0 percent of all active mortgages. These loans represent more than $1 trillion in unpaid principal balances. The largest number of loans in forbearance plans, 1.99 million, are those serviced for the GSEs Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Another 1.535 million are serviced for Ginnie Mae (loans backed by FHA, the VA, and USDA) and 1.233 million…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

Mortgage Rates Have Already Risen From All-Time Lows (But Only Slightly)

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

It’s Thursday, and thus time once again for Freddie Mac’s weekly mortgage rate survey. This is the longest-running and most widely-cited snapshot of mortgage rates in the US, but it frequently results in misinformation for mortgage shoppers . The survey does an accurate job of capturing the rates available early in any given week, but it doesn’t take the entire week into consideration. As such, actual rates can be very different by the time the survey is published (and news organizations are citing it as a breaking story). This is most noticeable when rates make huge moves late in any given week or simply when rates are near all-time lows . In the current case, the average lender was at all-time lows late last week when Freddie’s survey wasn’t accepting any responses. It’s no surprise to see…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

Pending Sales Rout May Signal a Bounce for Housing – Realtors

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Pending home sales cratered again in April, marking two straight months of declines that exceeded 20 percent. The National Association of Realtors® (NAR) said its Pending Home Sales Index (PHSI) fell 21.8 percent to 69.0. The decline in March was 20.8 percent. The Index is down by 33.8 percent year-over-year. This is the largest decline in pending home sales number since NAR began tracking the transactions in January 2001. Every major region experienced a drop in both month-over-month and year-over-year pending home sales transactions. NAR Chief Economist Lawrence Yun said he expects that April will be the lowest point for pending sales and subsequently May will mark the bottom for closed sales of existing homes. The April results were even worse than analysts had expected. Those polled…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

MBS Day Ahead: Why We're Watching Treasuries

Posted To: MBS Commentary

The market reaction to coronavirus made a mess of the relationship between Treasuries and MBS (and between MBS and mortgage rates for that matter). These disconnections can happen from time to time and when they do, we stop following trends in Treasuries and focus on MBS. In fact, the disconnection between MBS and mortgage rates forced me to stop following MBS except inasmuch to be on the lookout for a reconnection. While we may see a bit of small scale disconnection between Treasuries and MBS in the short-term, it won't be big enough to suggest we tune-out Treasuries again. The time has clearly come to get back to the business of following Treasuries, even though our focus is on mortgage rates. If you haven't read my primer on this before, here's why we do that. And if you prefer…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

Doc, MSR, Broker Products; Private MI Companies Motor On; Continuing Jobless Claims Drop

Posted To: Pipeline Press

With two business days left in May, one can feel the anticipation of the start of the “National Standing Desk League” opener coming up soon. I’m excited about that, and I’m excited that it’s garbage day here at the house. Taking out the garbage… What to wear, what to wear? What isn’t exciting for investors in mortgages are delinquencies. Mortgage delinquencies had a record surge in April. At 6.45%, the national delinquency rate nearly doubled from 3.06% in March, the largest single-month increase recorded, and nearly three times the prior record for a single month’s change during the height of the financial crisis in late 2008, Black Knight said. For context, it took more than 18 months before the first 1.6 million homeowners became delinquent during…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady

Posted To: Mortgage Rate Watch

Mortgage rates managed to stay sideways today after beginning the week with a move higher yesterday. This is a victory all things considered. Rates take guidance from multiple sources. When it comes to mortgages, the prices of mortgage-backed bonds are the key ingredients in determining rates. While other factors had a massively outsized impact during the market volatility in March and April, mortgage rates have returned to their normal habit of following bond market cues. If mortgages are taking cues from the broader bond market, where is the bond market getting its cues? In the past few weeks, bonds are just as likely to be watching the stock market for guidance as anything else. This is fairly logical considering both stocks and bonds have a stake in the nation’s economic recovery and the…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

Freddie's Loan Portfolio on Pace to Increase by 14.3 Percent This Year

Posted To: MND NewsWire

Freddie Mac reported this week that its total mortgage portfolio increased at an annualized rate of 14.3 percent in April, up from a 9.2 percent gain in March and the largest rate since December. The portfolio balance at the end of the period was $2.396 trillion compared to $2.368 trillion at the end of March and $2.216 trillion a year earlier. The growth rate for the year to date is 8.4 percent. Purchases and Issuances totaled $88,879 billion and Sales were ($0.770) billion. The March numbers were $58,830 billion and ($3,165) billion, respectively. Single-family refinance loan purchase and guarantee volume was $52.100 billion in April compared to $33.300 billion in March and representing a 69 percent share of total single-family mortgage portfolio purchases and issuances compared to 63 percent…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily

MBS Day Ahead: Rising Rate Trend Intact, But Motivation is Required

Posted To: MBS Commentary

Today's first chart shows the trend we've been following in 10yr Treasury yields. It is pointed in an unfriendly direction (i.e. "up"), but at a fairly gentle pace in the bigger picture. Even then, such trends are by no means crystal balls. At best, they can provide some lines on either side of whatever road we're currently on. With that in mind, we'd reached the lower end of the range last Thursday and had begun to bounce by Friday. Now this week, the first two trading days are confirming the bounce (unless today's losses fade). The reassuring part of today's weaker performance so far is that it has required some specific motivation. In other words, bonds haven't moved to higher yields simply because this trend says they are supposed to. In today's…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily