Posted To: MBS Commentary

We knew we'd have to deal with it at some point, and now we have to wonder if it's already here: the coronavirus bounce. Why did we know it was coming? Nothing too complicated here… The recent rate rally was/is unequivocally driven by a big, uncertain, temporary factor that has required markets to position defensively for stuff that probably won't happen. Once it looks like the most dire coronavirus scenarios have been ruled out, we'd expect markets to give back the premiums they'd been paying for increased uncertainty. In other words, bond yields should bounce. Why are we wondering if it's already here? This one is simple too. The rate rally has been sharp. It's lasted a few weeks. It's taken rates back in the vicinity of recent long term lows. It's made…(read more)

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Source: Mortgage News Daily